Posthaste: Insolvencies jump in Canada as interest rate hikes, inflation bite

2022-08-12 21:51:42 By : Ms. Suzy Gui

U.S. stocks soared Friday as a rally fueled by lighter-than-expected inflation data supported equity markets

Business and consumer insolvencies are marching higher, as climbing interest rates and crushing inflation fuel economic uncertainty, according to an insolvency industry group.

In the second quarter of 2022, business insolvencies climbed 30.9 per cent compared to the same time last year, and they’re up 26.3 per cent from the first six months of 2022, The Canadian Association of Insolvency and Restructuring Professionals (CAIRP) said.

Consumers are also under pressure. CAIRP’s data show there were 25,266 insolvencies in Q2, up 10.5 per cent compared to the same time last year, and up 9.2 per cent from the previous quarter, in what is the “highest volume” in two years. They are up 32 per cent compared to 2020.

The rising number of insolvencies are directly related to higher inflation and interest rates, CAIRP said.

“Cost of living increases are having an immediate impact on household budgets. At the same time, rising interest rates and the subsequent increase in debt carrying costs are having gradual but significant effects,” André Bolduc, vice-chair of CAIRP said in a news release.

Things are expected to get worse. During the pandemic, consumer insolvencies fell 40 per cent amid ample government supports that kept Canadians’ finances afloat, CAIRP said. But now that such financial aid has been removed, insolvencies are starting to bounce back, though they still remain below 2019 levels.

Plus, interest rates are rising at a fast clip, a shock for some people’s finances. The Bank of Canada has pledged to keep hiking rates to wrestle soaring inflation back to its two per cent target. Inflation hit 8.1 per cent in June from a year earlier, a level not seen in decades. That’s left Canadian consumers wrestling with growing debt costs from rising interest rates, while trying to manage higher prices of essentials at the same time.

Indeed, Canadians are pulling back on spending where they can, and many are targeting food costs. According to a survey released yesterday from Maru Public Opinion and Yahoo Canada, 60 per cent of Canadians have cut their expenses in the face of rising inflation. Of those, 68 per cent have trimmed spending on restaurants, while 61 per cent have cut back at the grocery store.

But cutting back can only do so much. For those who have trimmed spending as much as they possibly can and are still finding it difficult to get by, taking on more debt may be their only option. And that spells trouble ahead, CAIRP said.

“Many may continue to rack up more debt to make ends meet — whether by taking on loans, increasing home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) or spending on credit cards — but that is simply pouring fuel onto the fire,” Bolduc said.

Inflation and rising rates are also dinging business balance sheets, and are especially painful for those organizations who have not fully recovered from pandemic losses. Business insolvencies are likely to grow in the months ahead, CAIRP said, with some sectors getting impacted more than others. Those include construction, transportation and warehousing.

“Looking ahead, businesses in industries most affected by fluctuations in cost and supply chain pressures and changes in business and consumer confidence are the most vulnerable,” Jean-Daniel Breton, chair of CAIRP said in the release.

Still, the uptick in insolvencies isn’t necessarily a bad thing. CAIRP said insolvency can actually be a sign a company has its eye on the ball, and could help them avoid bankruptcy in the end.

“It means businesses are taking proactive measures to put themselves on a more stable financial footing,” Breton said. “The sooner distressed businesses seek out the assistance of a licensed insolvency trustee, the more restructuring options may be available to them.”

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FARMERS PUSH BACK A plan by the federal government that would require farmers to reduce the amount of nitrogen fertilizer they use to lower greenhouse gas emissions is not going over well with agribusiness groups. They argue being forced to use less fertilizer will reduce crop yields at a time when food security is a big concern. The Financial Post’s Robert Shelton reports. Photo by Shannon VanRaes/Reuters

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Today’s Posthaste was written by Victoria Wells (@vwells80), with additional reporting from The Canadian Press, Thomson Reuters and Bloomberg.

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